The treasury cockpit — 13-week cash, EBITDA-to-FCF conversion, working-capital unlock, receivables, liquidity and covenant headroom.
Liquidity is sound at ₹900 Cr (≈ 7 weeks cover), but ₹84.3 Cr of working capital is trapped in receivables — and far more in inventory. Pull DSO from 33d to 28d to help self-fund the ₹450–500 Cr/yr growth capex rather than lean on the ₹757 Cr of covenant headroom.
5 of 5 headline metrics improving vs prior · still off target: Free Cash Flow ₹250 Cr vs ₹400 Cr, Cash Conversion Cycle 95d vs 80d, DSO (Days Sales Outstanding) 33d vs 28d
Cane development & recovery; maximise ethanol / by-product diversion.
FRP ₹355/q (+4%) plus SAP pressures sugar EBITDA; recovery must offset.
Sets capex headroom and refinancing risk on a conservatively levered (~1.9×) balance sheet.
Every day of DSO above 28d ties up working capital; closing the gap releases ≈ ₹84.3 Cr of one-time cash.
Monetize sugar inventory & ethanol diversion; tighten cane-to-cash.
Seasonal sugar stock lifts the cash conversion cycle to ~95 days; working capital tied up.
Net weekly cash (bars) and ending cash (line) vs. ₹180 Cr minimum. Forecast trough: ₹256 Cr.
₹688 Cr EBITDA converts to ₹250 Cr FCF (36%).
Monthly, ₹ Cr.
Normalizing laggard divisions to 40-day DSO releases ~₹104.0 Cr one-time.
Total AR ₹556 Cr
Overdue (>60d) = ₹55.0 Cr.
Highest DSO first.
| Account | Revenue | DSO | Credit risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Municipal & Industrial Water Boards | ₹200 Cr | 58d | Medium |
| Steel majors (SAIL / JSW / Tata Steel) | ₹140 Cr | 48d | Medium |
| Cement majors (UltraTech / Dalmia) | ₹160 Cr | 45d | Low |
| Indian Navy / DRDO | ₹120 Cr | 45d | Low |
| NTPC / State Power Utilities (UPPCL) | ₹380 Cr | 40d | Medium |
| State Beverage Corps & IMIL distributors | ₹300 Cr | 30d | Medium |
| Sugar traders & exporters | ₹700 Cr | 26d | Medium |
Working-capital lever.
| Supplier | Spend | DPO | OTIF | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugarcane — farmers & cane societies (UP) | ₹2,900 Cr | 14d | 92% | High |
| Coal & fuel (boilers / co-gen) | ₹180 Cr | 45d | 94% | Medium |
| Steel, forgings & castings (gears / turbines) | ₹150 Cr | 55d | 91% | Medium |
| Chemicals, enzymes & process aids | ₹140 Cr | 50d | 93% | Medium |
| Packaging (sugar bags, ethanol logistics) | ₹120 Cr | 48d | 90% | Low |
| Power, stores & MRO | ₹110 Cr | 40d | 95% | Medium |
One click into the owning view — each reads the same live governed dataset.